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MethodSeptember 5, 20226 min read

Merits of technical analysis

What technical analysis offers, from objective data to timing and risk, and where fundamental analysis fits beside it.

MSMadhusudhanFounder, Mars Equity

Technical analysis and fundamental analysis are two ways of reading a market. Each has strengths and limits. This article sets out what technical analysis offers, and where the other approach fits.

Built on observable data

Technical analysis starts from what the market has actually done.

  • Objective dataPrice and volume are the same for every trader. Indicators turn them into measurable readings, which leaves less room for personal interpretation.
  • A quantitative approachMoving averages, oscillators and trend lines put numbers on market conditions, so ideas can be stated and checked.
  • A price-first viewPrice is where everyone’s information and opinions end up. Technical analysis studies that result directly.
  • Market psychologyOverbought and oversold readings, and divergences between an oscillator and price, show where sentiment may be stretched.

Timing and risk

Most of the practical value sits here.

  • Entries and exitsPatterns, support and resistance and indicators give you reference points for when to act, and when you are wrong.
  • Risk levelsStop-loss and target levels can come from technical levels, bands and volatility measures, so risk is set before the trade, not during it.
  • Support and resistanceKey levels mark where price has reacted before. They help with decisions and with setting targets.
  • Volume and liquidityVolume can show the strength behind a move, and it points to instruments that can be traded without heavy slippage.
Illustration

A trade, planned on the chart

SupportEntryStop-lossTargetRewardRisk

An illustrative sketch, not a past or future trade. The stop sits where the idea is wrong, and the target is set before entry. Here the possible reward is about 1.6 times the risk.

Patterns and context

Repeating shapes are not guarantees, but they are useful context.

  • Chart patternsHead and shoulders, triangles and flags can hint at a continuation or a reversal. They do not always play out, so they work best with a stop.
  • Leading and lagging indicatorsLeading indicators look ahead, lagging indicators confirm what price has already done. Knowing which is which helps you read each one fairly.
  • Automatic recognitionSome indicators mark formations such as double tops or pennants for you, which saves time when you cannot watch every chart.

Flexible by design

The same ideas travel well.

  • Many time perspectivesIt serves short-term, medium-term and long-term participants alike. Swing and positional traders use it as much as day traders.
  • Many marketsStocks, currencies, commodities and derivatives can all be read with the same principles.
  • CustomisationYou can choose and tune indicators to suit your own strategy, and keep only what matters to you.

Tools that make it practical

Technology has made the method easier to apply.

  • BacktestingApply your rules to past data to see how a strategy would have behaved, then refine it. Past behaviour does not predict the future.
  • Real-time alertsPlatforms can notify you when a condition you defined is met, so you do not have to watch the screen all day.
  • Platforms and automationSpecialised platforms and rule-based systems can carry out a predefined plan without constant manual input.
In short

A measurable, price-first way to plan timing and risk.

Where fundamental analysis fits

Fundamental analysis looks at financial statements, economic data and news to judge what something is worth. That is valuable for long-term investors. For someone trading actively, it comes with trade-offs:

  • Time and effortReading statements, economic data and news is demanding.
  • Room for interpretationTwo careful analysts can reach different conclusions from the same data.
  • Long-term focusIt is better at showing what is worth owning than when to act.
  • LagReports arrive after the fact, so price may already have moved.
  • SentimentPrices can stay above or below fair value for a long time, driven by crowd behaviour.

Technical analysis

  • Studies price and volume
  • Gives timing and risk reference points
  • Works across time frames and markets
  • Can be tested on past data

Fundamental analysis

  • Studies a business and the economy
  • Helps judge long-term value
  • Takes time to research and interpret
  • Often gives less precise timing

Neither approach is complete on its own. Many market participants use both, and which one leads depends on your time horizon and goals.

Different questions

Technical and fundamental analysis side by side

TechnicalFundamental
Asks

What is price doing, and where is my idea wrong?

What is this business worth?

Studies

Price and volume

Financial statements, industry and the economy

Horizon

Any, from swing to positional

Usually longer-term ownership

Tools

Levels, trend, momentum, bands

Earnings, ratios, valuation

Strength

Timing, and defining risk

Judging the quality of a business

Many traders use both. They answer different questions.

Skill still decides the outcome

No indicator predicts the future, and no method removes risk. Using any of these tools well takes skill, practice and thorough testing. That is how confidence is built, one trade and one lesson at a time.

Our own ECLIPSE observation tools follow this price-first thinking, and members learn them step by step in the membership programs, with the tools included. If you want a plain-language starting point, read Does technical analysis work? next.

Happy learning.

Madhusudhan
Founder and Mentor, Mars Equity

This article is for education. It is not investment, financial or personal advice, a recommendation or an offer to buy or sell any security. Markets carry risk, including loss of capital. Past behaviour of price or of a backtest does not predict future results.

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